Spectator Commands
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356579 / bfc8cc

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GFI for pass

If one GFI will bring your chance to pass up by one...

2+ and 5+ vs. 6+ : 10/36 vs. 6/36 (Go for it)
2+ and 4+ vs. 5+ : 15/36 vs. 12/36 (Go for it)
2+ and 3+ vs. 4+ : 20/36 vs. 18/36 (Go for it)
2+ and 2+ vs. 3+ : 25/36 vs. 24/36 (Go for it)

If two gfis do it though:

2+, 2+ and 5+ vs. 6+ : 50/216 vs. 36/216 (Go for it)
2+, 2+ and 4+ vs. 5+ : 75/216 vs. 72/216 (Go for it)
2+, 2+ and 3+ vs. 4+ : 100/216 vs. 108/216 (Do the pass)
2+, 2+ and 2+ vs. 3+ : 125/216 vs. 144/216 (Do the pass)

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Probability beeing sent off after foul:

Probability of breaking the armor:

AV 1: 36/36
AV 2: 35/36
AV 3: 33/36
AV 4: 30/36
AV 5: 26/36
AV 6: 21/36
AV 7: 15/36
AV 8: 10/36
AV 9: 6/36
AV 10: 3/36
AV 11: 1/36

Therefore, probability of getting caught without Sneaky Git:

AV 1: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(36/36) = 30.5%
AV 2: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(35/36) = 30.1%
AV 3: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(33/36) = 29.4%
AV 4: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(30/36) = 28.2%
AV 5: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(26/36) = 26.7%
AV 6: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(21/36) = 24.8%
AV 7: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(15/36) = 22.5%
AV 8: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(10/36) = 20.5%
AV 9: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(6/36) = 19%
AV 10: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(3/36) = 17.8%
AV 11: 1/6 + 1/6*(5/6)*(2/36) = 17.4%
AV 12+: it will never break, so 1/6 = 16.7%


http://elyoukey2.phpnet.org/sac/

http://www.pvv.ntnu.no/~brill/fumbbl/index2.php

http://fumbbl.com/index.php?name=PNphpBB2&file=viewtopic&t=9617

https://fumbbl.com/FUMBBL.php?page=notes&op=view&id=1

http://fumbbl.com/help:Advanced_bbcode

https://fumbbl.com/index.php?name=PNphpBB2&file=viewtopic&t=22767

https://fumbbl.com/index.php?name=PNphpBB2&file=viewtopic&t=24539

https://fumbbl.com/index.php?name=PNphpBB2&file=viewtopic&t=24897