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2020-09-10 05:44:14
14 votes, rating 4.8
14 votes, rating 4.8
WTF Really?
Daniel Robertson starts a Move Action.
Dodge Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while dodging.
Roll a 2+ to succeed (AG 4 + 1 Dodge + Roll > 6).
Re-Roll using DODGE
Dodge Roll [ 3 ]
Daniel Robertson dodges successfully.
Go For It Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while going for it.
Roll a 2+ to succeed (Roll > 1).
Re-Roll using TEAM REROLL
Go For It Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while going for it.
Armour Roll [ 3 ][ 6 ]
Rolled Total of 9
The armour of Daniel Robertson has been broken.
Injury Roll [ 4 ][ 6 ]
Rolled Total of 10
Daniel Robertson suffers a casualty.
Casualty Roll [ 6 ][ 5 ]
Daniel Robertson has been killed.
Apothecary used.
Casualty Roll [ 6 ][ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson has been killed.
game link : https://fumbbl.com/p/match?id=4229083
Player link : https://fumbbl.com/p/player?player_id=13583477
can someone figure out the odds of this happening? lolz
Dodge Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while dodging.
Roll a 2+ to succeed (AG 4 + 1 Dodge + Roll > 6).
Re-Roll using DODGE
Dodge Roll [ 3 ]
Daniel Robertson dodges successfully.
Go For It Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while going for it.
Roll a 2+ to succeed (Roll > 1).
Re-Roll using TEAM REROLL
Go For It Roll [ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson trips while going for it.
Armour Roll [ 3 ][ 6 ]
Rolled Total of 9
The armour of Daniel Robertson has been broken.
Injury Roll [ 4 ][ 6 ]
Rolled Total of 10
Daniel Robertson suffers a casualty.
Casualty Roll [ 6 ][ 5 ]
Daniel Robertson has been killed.
Apothecary used.
Casualty Roll [ 6 ][ 1 ]
Daniel Robertson has been killed.
game link : https://fumbbl.com/p/match?id=4229083
Player link : https://fumbbl.com/p/player?player_id=13583477
can someone figure out the odds of this happening? lolz
Comments
Posted by steinerp on 2020-09-10 06:23:31
.0005%. 1/6*5/6*1/36*10/36*1/6*1/36 *100
Posted by steinerp on 2020-09-10 06:34:16
Or .004% if you only care about failing either dodge.
(35/36*1/36*5/36*1/6*1/36 + 1/36*5/36*1/6*1/36) *100
(35/36*1/36*5/36*1/6*1/36 + 1/36*5/36*1/6*1/36) *100
Posted by Bobs on 2020-09-10 06:50:07
You rolled as many 6's as you did 1's. Its just a matter of placement :)
Posted by Libertini on 2020-09-10 07:12:33
That's Bloodbowl, baby.
Posted by Verminardo on 2020-09-10 08:07:51
Destiny! =D
Posted by tussock on 2020-09-10 08:13:56
~1/18 to fall down on a 2+ 2+ with RR on both.
~1/41 to also break armour.
~1/246 to also take a cas.
~1/8871 to wind up double dead.
~1/3194 to end up with -MA, -ST, -AG, or dead.
~1/887 to end up bad perm or dead if lacking an Apo.
Compare, double-died to a rock at the opening kickoff.
1/27 it's one of your players.
1/297 it's your most precious player.
1/1782 it's a cas on them.
1/64152 it's double-dead.
Poor Stu: https://fumbbl.com/p/player?player_id=12760593
Badge: https://fumbbl.com/files/GLN/BadgesLRB6/GottaHurt.gif
~1/41 to also break armour.
~1/246 to also take a cas.
~1/8871 to wind up double dead.
~1/3194 to end up with -MA, -ST, -AG, or dead.
~1/887 to end up bad perm or dead if lacking an Apo.
Compare, double-died to a rock at the opening kickoff.
1/27 it's one of your players.
1/297 it's your most precious player.
1/1782 it's a cas on them.
1/64152 it's double-dead.
Poor Stu: https://fumbbl.com/p/player?player_id=12760593
Badge: https://fumbbl.com/files/GLN/BadgesLRB6/GottaHurt.gif
Posted by Storr on 2020-09-10 08:23:25
It's >0
Posted by Badoek on 2020-09-10 08:27:20
You should feel lucky. You've been part of a Blood Bowl Special Moment.
Posted by stowelly on 2020-09-10 08:57:46
“The chief task in life is simply this: to identify and separate matters so that I can say clearly to myself which are externals not under my control, and which have to do with the choices I actually control. Where then do I look for good and evil? Not to uncontrollable externals, but within myself to the choices that are my own…” — Epictetus, Discourses, 2.5.4–5
Posted by MattDakka on 2020-09-10 12:53:42
The question is: are you really sure that you can control your choices or your free will is not really free due to external factors (education, family, society) and genetic factors?
When you consider that your supposed free will could not be really free, but just a deterministic product of environment and genetic, your vision of things changes.
When you consider that your supposed free will could not be really free, but just a deterministic product of environment and genetic, your vision of things changes.
Posted by FinnDiesel on 2020-09-10 14:19:01
@mattDakka I don’t think your blood bowl playing can be related to society
Posted by MattDakka on 2020-09-10 15:05:18
I replied to stowelly. He talked about life with Epictetus's quote, and my reply was about life in general.
That said, Blood Bowl playing can be related to social environment too: for example if you use to play in a club with many expert coaches teaching you to play you will probably be positively affected by that, while if you live in a small town where nobody plays BB your improvement as a coach could be slower. Playing in a competitive environment affects how you play the game and your choices. Things don't happen in isolation, factors affect each other in a chain of consequences.
That said, Blood Bowl playing can be related to social environment too: for example if you use to play in a club with many expert coaches teaching you to play you will probably be positively affected by that, while if you live in a small town where nobody plays BB your improvement as a coach could be slower. Playing in a competitive environment affects how you play the game and your choices. Things don't happen in isolation, factors affect each other in a chain of consequences.
Posted by stowelly on 2020-09-10 15:15:22
Well if everything is deterministic, then none of this matters at all :D (which it doesnt)
Posted by Rbthma on 2020-09-10 16:32:34
This one is easy to calculate the odds...100% Everyone dies, Daniel Robertson just happened to do it with a bit of flair ^-^
Posted by SanKuKai on 2020-09-10 16:39:39
well, happens all the times. Many times per days. Thts BB. Nothing else :)
Posted by Arktoris on 2020-09-10 16:40:04
reminds me of Calvinism.
When you were created, did God already know if you would choose him or choose an animal's life? Is your eternal destiny...pre-destined?
When you were created, did God already know if you would choose him or choose an animal's life? Is your eternal destiny...pre-destined?
Posted by erased000047 on 2020-09-10 16:59:11
i never thought the massive random death of a pixel bloodbowl player would lead to an existential dialog, but by all means continue . lol
Posted by Balle2000 on 2020-09-10 17:28:55
The real question here is what's the odds of not rolling a single [ 2 ] in twelve dice?!
Posted by Lill-Leif on 2020-09-10 18:39:08
Actually, if everything is indeterminstic, our "free" will would be reduced to pure randomness (in a given situation it would be random if you choose A or B, which can be displayed with a simple many-worlds argument). Determinism ensures that we act according to our wants and needs. What those wants and needs are is out of our control though.
Posted by stej on 2020-09-10 19:39:08
I think you guys have the odds wrong for the apothecary rolling a dead into another dead.
It's not actually independant and depends on how good the player is thats killed. The better the player, the more likely it is to happen. Like my ST5 Block Guard Chaos Warrior that got deaded rolled into deaded. Odds were clearly 90%
It's not actually independant and depends on how good the player is thats killed. The better the player, the more likely it is to happen. Like my ST5 Block Guard Chaos Warrior that got deaded rolled into deaded. Odds were clearly 90%
Posted by HouseBlackfyre on 2020-09-10 19:42:33
I think the important thing to remember is this: that guy obviously had it coming!
Posted by razmus on 2020-09-10 21:14:30
The odds? If it were my elf... 1:1
Apparently for everyone else, it's 9:10 -- https://wiki.lspace.org/mediawiki/Million-to-one_chance
Apparently for everyone else, it's 9:10 -- https://wiki.lspace.org/mediawiki/Million-to-one_chance
Posted by Waagh on 2020-09-10 22:09:47
I am more interested to know what the odds of having only one player killed or maimed playing against the doctors is. Further more that player killing themselves rather than the doctors doing it...
Posted by ramchop on 2020-09-10 23:11:47
>4000 games and you seem surprised by this sequence?
I'm surprised at your surprise. Surprise!
I'm surprised at your surprise. Surprise!
Posted by MenonaLoco on 2020-09-10 23:28:42
Lol, Waagh, true that. We got outbashed by those damn elves. Then they started running all over the place, overconfident and this one killed himself. :-P
Posted by Muff2n on 2020-09-11 16:58:51
@steinerp
".0005%. 1/6*5/6*1/36*10/36*1/6*1/36 *100"
Should that last 1/36 not be 1/6 to represent apo roll of p(kill)?
And when you compute failing either, the AV break change mysteriously changes to 5/36.
".0005%. 1/6*5/6*1/36*10/36*1/6*1/36 *100"
Should that last 1/36 not be 1/6 to represent apo roll of p(kill)?
And when you compute failing either, the AV break change mysteriously changes to 5/36.