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lucky1
Last seen 13 years ago
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Rookie
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0/0/0
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Archive

2009

2009-02-04 20:36:39
rating 3.5

2008

2008-12-14 14:05:24
rating 2.6
2008-12-13 11:02:35
rating 2.5
2008-12-11 07:14:26
rating 2
2008-12-10 08:06:29
rating 4.2
2008-12-08 10:42:03
rating 3
2008-12-07 19:33:40
rating 3.5
2008-12-14 14:05:24
31 votes, rating 2.6
When it rains..
My orcs have played 23games in Blackbox. They have -16 casulty difference. That is mostly because I mismanage my team, I leave too many good block/foul chances to opponent. Not bitching about that, although orcs should be among most durable teams there is.

What sucks is how those casulties are distributed:
nbr % Type Expected
28 50.9% Bad hurt 27.5
13 23.6% Serious inj 18.3
14 25.5% Dead 9.1

So basically i have had 5 too many deaths instead of SIs. Can I now expect that I will face fewer deaths in future? Of course not. Learn law of propability :)

At this point you could say: 'You should add 'Un' in beginning of your nick'. Heh
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Comments
Posted by Wotfudboy on 2008-12-14 14:13:17
Quote "At this point you could say: 'You should add 'Un' in beginning of your nick'. Heh "... I said that in chat... Do I get royalties? :)
Posted by JanMattys on 2008-12-14 14:54:08
Learn to deploy better.

Everything is av2 on the ground, if left in the open... Orcs are not foul-proof :D
Posted by Mr_Foulscumm on 2008-12-14 19:33:26
5 more deaths then you should have had? 23 games and just a hand full of CAS is not enough to base any kind of analysis on. The smaller the number the bigger the spread will be.

Also Orcs suck. :)
Posted by Ehlers on 2008-12-14 19:40:17
Does lucky1 not stand for you roll a lucky bunch of 1s? :D
Seems like you cursed yourself right off the beginning or maybe Nuffle actually reward you with, what you want :D
Posted by Shimin on 2008-12-14 20:55:40
Play at least 500 before making a statement of how flawed dicerolls are.

If 1000 players play 1000 games, there is still a statistical possibility that a few of them a a lot out of the ordinary, so even then you cant be sure, but as Mr_Foulscumm said it, you should have much bigger numbers for any statistical accuracy.