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BooAhl
Last seen 7 years ago
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Rookie
Overall
CR
1250
Record
0/0/0
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2017

2017-03-16 23:21:21
rating 2.7

2015

2015-01-14 14:57:46
rating 4.6

2014

2014-02-17 18:17:39
rating 4.8
2014-01-28 10:51:51
rating 6
2014-01-20 20:05:51
rating 5.2
2014-01-03 14:11:41
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2013

2013-11-19 15:54:08
rating 2.4
2013-10-17 11:36:22
rating 4.3
2013-10-08 22:29:20
rating 4.6
2013-09-23 08:32:11
rating 3.8
2013-09-10 11:29:13
rating 5.7
2013-09-03 16:56:18
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2013-08-31 23:52:17
rating 4.1
2013-08-31 22:46:53
rating 4.3
2013-08-28 13:59:18
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2013-07-31 23:20:53
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2013-06-24 14:13:59
rating 5.5
2013-04-17 16:12:33
rating 4.1
2013-04-03 11:23:04
rating 4.5
2013-03-26 20:13:27
rating 4
2013-02-14 13:02:45
rating 5.4
2013-01-08 18:06:58
rating 4.9

2012

2012-12-21 08:26:57
rating 3.9
2012-11-08 14:19:17
rating 3.2
2012-07-09 00:41:01
rating 3.5
2012-05-28 12:17:49
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2012-05-27 00:25:45
rating 2.8
2012-05-06 22:41:41
rating 5.5
2012-04-16 12:33:31
rating 3.7
2012-04-09 13:28:10
rating 5.4
2012-02-29 09:28:06
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2012-02-13 11:45:02
rating 4.7

2011

2011-12-12 15:05:10
rating 4.2
2011-12-05 14:34:33
rating 4.6
2011-11-22 16:24:46
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2011-10-20 22:51:55
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2011-09-27 15:35:26
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2011-09-23 19:43:02
rating 5.1
2011-06-22 13:15:11
rating 5.3
2011-02-25 23:48:17
rating 4.9
2011-02-16 13:42:19
rating 4.7
2011-01-31 12:55:47
rating 4.2

2010

2010-05-20 21:04:26
rating 4
2010-03-21 22:56:49
rating 3.5
2010-03-11 21:44:32
rating 3.9
2010-03-05 15:53:35
rating 3.6
2010-03-02 10:18:24
rating 4
2010-02-28 22:16:25
rating 4.3

2009

2009-08-06 09:51:20
rating 3.7
2009-04-17 10:31:44
rating 2
2009-04-14 09:46:45
rating 3.9

2007

2007-10-18 16:37:51
rating 3.5
2007-09-18 18:32:16
rating 3.6
2007-07-31 13:01:33
rating 4.1
2013-08-28 13:59:18
6 votes, rating 5.8
What to do to score?
It is the last turn of OT, you have no RRs left and your ag4 bloding Wolf is holding the ball 3 steps from a game winning TD. Sadly the wolf has a pestigor with CPOMB + block and tackle in one of his TZ. Fortunately two zombies can reach the pestigor without gfi. One of the zombie has block and the other one has no skills.

...........
-----------
...........
...........
...WP......
...........
....ZZ.....

What to do to score? I can see 4 options.

1. Dodge to score
2. Blitz with none block Zombie
3. Blitz with block Zombie
4. Mark pestigor with any zombie and then blitz with Wolf.
5. Other

Just of the bat when I guessed without thinking to much I didn't pick the most probable to succeed the score. Will you?

1. 5/6 = 60/72 = 83.3 % to score 2+ dodge needed
2. 8/9 = 64/72 = 88.9 %to score push or better for 2 db needed
3. 8/9 + 3/36*5/6 = 69/72 = 95.8 % to score push or better or skull/pow and then 2+ dodge.
4. 5/9+1/12*5/6+3/9*5/9+3/9*15/36*5/6= = 25/27 = 92.6 % Push is no direct success.
5. 100 % Enter you story here...

I picked the 2nd best, but when you think about it. Ofcourse it has to be like above. Because when you blitzing with wolf you get an extra chance to roll double skulls and dodge the push. But you get to claw a Clawpomb Pestigor: PRICELESS
Rate this entry
Comments
Posted by harvestmouse on 2013-08-28 14:24:34
Well, to win the highest % would have been the one I picked. However what about...

Blitz with block zombie, foul with other zombie, dance around the blood mark with the wolf and gfi to the TD.
Posted by BooAhl on 2013-08-28 14:40:38
But what are the odds of that happening in a majpr Quartrrfinal? Please show calculations
Posted by harvestmouse on 2013-08-28 14:47:34
5. Move some stuff 100%, make a blitz less than 100%, move & foul a bit less. Dance in a circle around a blood spot + 2 gfis a bit less again.

The worrying thing here though, is your hinted blasphemy and your lack of faith.

If you have faith and trust in Nuffle, he WILL deliver. %s in this situation do not matter, only love and worship of your god.
Posted by Mr_Foulscumm on 2013-08-28 14:55:19
Sometimes it works, sometimes it fails.
Posted by Chainsaw on 2013-08-28 14:55:34
Block first with the zombie.

Blitz with wolf is silly; you're just increasing the chance to hit skulls (potentially 2 rolls). Even worse, if you hit a push, you're forced to follow through (so pushes on first or frenzy hit are useless). If you hit both downs, it was the same as a zombie.

Posted by Chainsaw on 2013-08-28 14:56:02
By block I mean blitz with zombie.
Posted by BooAhl on 2013-08-28 16:09:43
This situation never happend last BC game, but it was close to happen. I would have choosen wrongely. But it is never about probabilities, it is always about how the dices fall. Dodging away first could have been the best choice if the dice to come would have been 2,1,1,1
Posted by pythrr on 2013-08-28 17:14:23
kill all mens!

score!

drink the blood of your victims from the chalice of WIN
Posted by Beerox on 2013-08-28 17:57:03
There is no spoon, Neo.
Posted by Hitonagashi on 2013-08-28 19:03:00
Reading the scenarios, I didn't think of anything except blitzing with the Block zombie.

Probably why I make a terrible Chaos player :D
Posted by PeteW on 2013-08-28 20:36:47
Your maths is broken.

Blitzing with wolf is best = 92.6%

Blitzing with block zombie is 90.3%
Posted by harvestmouse on 2013-08-28 20:57:51
No idea on the %, but that doesn't seem right. Is that a 1 blitz calculation? If the wolf rolls a push, he has to make a second blitz.

I have no idea about maths, but my intuition tells me that blitzing with the zombie is definitely the correct choice.

Pushes are fine with him, where as with the wolf they aren't.
Posted by PeteW on 2013-08-28 21:36:11
Ah yeah, sorry - my mistake.

Blitzing with zombie is best.

8/9 + 1/9*5/6 = 98%
Posted by PeteW on 2013-08-28 21:37:03
Ignore me again. Epic maths fail. If only we could edit blog entries....

BooAhl was right from the start. xD
Posted by B_SIDE on 2013-08-29 08:42:01
Public schools. ;)
Posted by Purplegoo on 2013-08-29 09:29:31
Every time one of these decision blogs pop up, it leaves me worried over the state of maths about the place. ;)
Posted by Traul on 2013-08-29 10:15:19
When in doubt, keep it simple.