Last night I played against some Lizards. As usual, my plan was laminate the Skinks to the floor, and maybe score.

As it turned out, clearing the skinks from the field wasn't too hard, but the little sods kept just being knocked out. I broke skink armour 13 times, but for 0 injuries.

I became interested - what're the odds?

Odds of CAS on an injury roll on a stunty, without Mighty Blow, etc., are about 28%. This leads to the following distribution of probability (as a percentage) against number of CAS caused.



Yup, that's right - the chances of breaking skink armour 13 times and causing no casualties is about 1.5%. And to add insult to injury, I suffered 3 CAS, including 2 RIP!

There we go, statistical evidence of the Random Number Generator being broken again....

(Na, I'm kidding, I just got slightly Nuffled. Can't complain though, I still won. But two CAS would've been nice.)