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2013-04-09 04:01:12
26 votes, rating 5.7
26 votes, rating 5.7
Miracle TD: T15 Khemri in the rain
Down 1-0, in the rain, only a tomb guard in scoring range, the ball on the ground in a chaos warrior TZ, we needed a miracle. A less than 1% probability of success miracle.
And that was exactly what we got. Match Report.
YouTube Link (Screen capture).
1. skeleton 2 gfi to get in TZ of chaos warrior (2+, 2+),
2. skeleton dodge (4+) and 1 die blitz (needed push, 4/6),
3. blitz-ra gets up, (5+ pickup), gfi (2+) to hand-off to tomb guard,
4. tomb-guard catch (6+ catch), gfi (2+) to score!
Probability of success:
5/6 * 5/6 * 1/2 * 4/6 * 1/3 * 5/6 * 1/6 * 5/6
= 0.89% <- with no RR
(In fact, I had one gfi with a tomb guard before attempting all the craziness to try and defend against another chaos TD to go up 2-0, which brings the overall probability of success down to 0.74%)
And that was exactly what we got. Match Report.
YouTube Link (Screen capture).
1. skeleton 2 gfi to get in TZ of chaos warrior (2+, 2+),
2. skeleton dodge (4+) and 1 die blitz (needed push, 4/6),
3. blitz-ra gets up, (5+ pickup), gfi (2+) to hand-off to tomb guard,
4. tomb-guard catch (6+ catch), gfi (2+) to score!
Probability of success:
5/6 * 5/6 * 1/2 * 4/6 * 1/3 * 5/6 * 1/6 * 5/6
= 0.89% <- with no RR
(In fact, I had one gfi with a tomb guard before attempting all the craziness to try and defend against another chaos TD to go up 2-0, which brings the overall probability of success down to 0.74%)
Comments
Posted by Daudy on 2013-04-09 05:45:39
Awesome play!
Rain is commonly a death knell for Khemri, but cool to see them defying the critics this game!
Rain is commonly a death knell for Khemri, but cool to see them defying the critics this game!
Posted by Verminardo on 2013-04-09 12:29:11
Chaos deserved that for all the unnecessary rolls they made and passed.
Posted by the_Sage on 2013-04-09 13:45:59
Nice!
Posted by jarvis_pants on 2013-04-09 16:39:03
Id be interested to know if it would have been safer to 2d uphill the warrior rather than the gf's and dodges?
great play though
great play though
Posted by seanh1986 on 2013-04-09 17:54:39
only the dodger could make it to blitz. The dodge was necessary, but the two gfi's allowed it to be a 1-die instead of two.
P{-2d} = 4/6 * 4/6 = 0.44
P{1d + 2 gfi} = 4/6 * 5/6 * 5/6 = 0.46
Seems it was pretty close, but the two gfi was marginally better.
P{-2d} = 4/6 * 4/6 = 0.44
P{1d + 2 gfi} = 4/6 * 5/6 * 5/6 = 0.46
Seems it was pretty close, but the two gfi was marginally better.