77 coaches online • Server time: 21:55
* * * Did you know? There are 428625 active teams in FUMBBL.
Recent Forum Topics  New Metagame: Rotter... | Dealing with a massi... | All Star Bowl!!! |
2016-12-06 10:42:11
20 votes, rating 4
20 votes, rating 4
How is this possible
I literally take a 2+ roll with my high elves and it always fails. I had more fails in my last four games with nothing more then a 2+ that I had successful rolls. I go to pass the ball for a touch down fail the first 2+ alright reroll success then fails the 2+ catch..... This has been my last three games and statistically should be impossible but it kept happening each time. Also to make it worst i see people with 2agi character passing 4+ dodges every time they attempt to score the touchdown just makes the knife go deeper. Can someone explain to me how any of this is possible?
Comments
Posted by Grudgebearer on 2016-12-06 10:44:42
Improbable is the word you're looking for. Not impossible.
Posted by spelledaren on 2016-12-06 10:52:09
Not enough sacrifices to Nuffle.
Posted by spelledaren on 2016-12-06 10:54:53
Heh. You really have rolled a lot of ones in your last four games. Harsh. Still, it's way less than half of your single D6's.
Things will not always be bad. Play more games, you'll be fine. :)
Things will not always be bad. Play more games, you'll be fine. :)
Posted by spelledaren on 2016-12-06 10:55:53
I'd retire that team, just for being the worst ever. :P
Posted by ramchop on 2016-12-06 10:59:31
Single dice roll 1s:
Game 1: 27%
Game 2: 29%
Game 3: 29%
Game 4: 36%
That's some pretty special Nuffle love. Keep at it. See if you can break 50%
Rated 6 for sharing :D
Game 1: 27%
Game 2: 29%
Game 3: 29%
Game 4: 36%
That's some pretty special Nuffle love. Keep at it. See if you can break 50%
Rated 6 for sharing :D
Posted by Roland on 2016-12-06 11:02:25
Time for a donation ;)
Posted by m0gw41 on 2016-12-06 11:03:04
Some teams are just cursed, keep them around as a magnet for all your bad luck and enjoy dicing people with your other teams!
Posted by tussock on 2016-12-06 11:55:04
Most important thing to remember, is game numbers here are up near 4 million.
So something that happens once in a thousand games, has probably happened almost 4 thousand times here.
But also, fumbbl (and the famous board game it's similar to) throws more games with lots of 1s than you might expect, because those games are a bit shorter, with less player actions, and thus capture more of the normal variance that would be evened out a bit with a longer game, where you make more rolls because you didn't roll so many 1s.
Mind, 36% 1s on single dice is pretty high, that's up around my highest ever and in one your first few games. So, it really will get better. :D
So something that happens once in a thousand games, has probably happened almost 4 thousand times here.
But also, fumbbl (and the famous board game it's similar to) throws more games with lots of 1s than you might expect, because those games are a bit shorter, with less player actions, and thus capture more of the normal variance that would be evened out a bit with a longer game, where you make more rolls because you didn't roll so many 1s.
Mind, 36% 1s on single dice is pretty high, that's up around my highest ever and in one your first few games. So, it really will get better. :D
Posted by jdm on 2016-12-06 12:06:56
Think how glorious it's going to be when your "luck" turns around. And it will. No doubt.
Then your elves will have this great back story of how bad they were to start with :)
Then your elves will have this great back story of how bad they were to start with :)
Posted by paradocks on 2016-12-06 12:38:43
If this happened for 10 years straight I would be amazed, for 4 games not so much
Posted by JellyBelly on 2016-12-06 12:46:55
Hi Shydeon - glad to see you're trying out High Elves. They're my favourite race (and, of course, the best, but don't tell anyone that ..). Yeah, those dice stats are very bad - seems like you've just had a very unlucky streak of 4 games. High Elves can be a bit tough to get started, as they lack basic skills and 2 rerolls doesn't give you much margin for error. If you persevere with them though, your dice will surely improve and they are fun and rewarding to play (when you're not being Nuffled ...). High Elves, ftw! :)
Posted by Kaiowas on 2016-12-06 13:02:36
keep playing and you'll turn the tables
Posted by Roland on 2016-12-06 13:33:21
Welcome to fumbbl BTW!
Posted by SpecialOne on 2016-12-06 13:52:57
This where I bring my usual story, but it doesn't quite fit in. You have been very unlucky with those amounts of ones. Remember to check out the games where you will win too. :)
My story in short. I only won 1 game in 16. in the 16th game I whined about it, and lucky me. The opponent took his time to point out some errors I did during the game. I didn't loose the next 12 games, and my game has improved since. In that could also be a small truth. Search through you own games and try and find errors in you game. Rolling less dice, will in time improve your winning record.
My story in short. I only won 1 game in 16. in the 16th game I whined about it, and lucky me. The opponent took his time to point out some errors I did during the game. I didn't loose the next 12 games, and my game has improved since. In that could also be a small truth. Search through you own games and try and find errors in you game. Rolling less dice, will in time improve your winning record.
Posted by MattDakka on 2016-12-06 14:32:38
Get the third reroll asap (either by buying it or by taking Leader on your Thrower) and buy at least 1 Catcher, you benefit a lot from MA 8.
Personally I start with 2 Blitzers, 1 Catcher, 8 Linemen and 3 rrs because High Elves lack core skills compared to other elven teams such as DE and WE.
Personally I start with 2 Blitzers, 1 Catcher, 8 Linemen and 3 rrs because High Elves lack core skills compared to other elven teams such as DE and WE.
Posted by Chainsaw on 2016-12-06 15:40:27
Nuffle hates you and the RNG isn't random.
Christer has to roll dice individually. Sometimes he just gets lazy and skips rolling dice and hits '1' instead.
Christer has to roll dice individually. Sometimes he just gets lazy and skips rolling dice and hits '1' instead.
Posted by PeteW on 2016-12-06 17:20:18
Donate
Posted by PainState on 2016-12-06 17:22:24
You need to make a journey to the Ukraine and find a bunker with Polish resistance fighters. Inside this bunker you will find a man named Spiro. He will enlighten you and open your mind to the ways of the RNG.
Of course this will be in between battles with the red army who are invading.
Of course this will be in between battles with the red army who are invading.
Posted by Uedder on 2016-12-06 17:28:58
Bad luck. It happens. When it's streaky, then we think it's sort of a "curse" on us, and that it should be impossible for dice to be so bad, so consistently. That's where our perception fails us.
If something CAN happen, it WILL happen. Is it possible to roll 100% ones? Yes. Very unlikely, but still it's bound to happen to someone someday.
All we can do is look forward and hope we're not that "someone" :D
If something CAN happen, it WILL happen. Is it possible to roll 100% ones? Yes. Very unlikely, but still it's bound to happen to someone someday.
All we can do is look forward and hope we're not that "someone" :D
Posted by Uedder on 2016-12-06 17:34:27
Also, don't mind those who don't understand. You're new to FUMBBL and have had some really tough dice. I've seen way more experienced coaches frown and get angry/sad/salty for less.
Also, being fairly new, you rightly have doubts about RNG's "fairness" or "Randomness". That's fair. There's some explaining to the maths behind it in the "HELP" section. I don't really dig that stuff.
All i can say, having played thousands of games here, is that it all evens out. In my experience the RNG is really Random. And being really random (and thus, unfair at times)it will make stupid things happen from time to time. That's what randomness does.
Also, being fairly new, you rightly have doubts about RNG's "fairness" or "Randomness". That's fair. There's some explaining to the maths behind it in the "HELP" section. I don't really dig that stuff.
All i can say, having played thousands of games here, is that it all evens out. In my experience the RNG is really Random. And being really random (and thus, unfair at times)it will make stupid things happen from time to time. That's what randomness does.
Posted by Cavetroll on 2016-12-06 17:43:31
At least you have managed to keep this blog rating above 2+
Posted by Arktoris on 2016-12-06 17:51:34
so this is where all my 1s went. I was wondering why i was doing so well lately.
It's ok. you can keep them. Merry Christmas.
It's ok. you can keep them. Merry Christmas.
Posted by pythrr on 2016-12-06 18:30:08
i feel you may be exaggerating a little
Posted by Shydeon on 2016-12-07 01:00:03
Antoris- I really do not know what to say except i want the receipt on this one.
Pythinm - I really am not exaggerating those four game where awful and the next 2 are not much better but workable compare to those four nightmarish level of nurgles enjoyment.
Pythinm - I really am not exaggerating those four game where awful and the next 2 are not much better but workable compare to those four nightmarish level of nurgles enjoyment.
Posted by Shydeon on 2016-12-07 01:02:32
MattDakka here is the problem with what you say that would be nice if I could replace my missing linemen with other lineman never mind something more expensive.